$29 flights are back as airlines race to fill seats in the off-season

• Airlines have a record 260 million seats to fill this quarter. • They’re offering more fare sales for off-peak travel to do it. • JetBlue, Spirit and Frontier all say average fares are dropping.

FORT WORTH, Texas — Airlines have a record 260 million seats to fill this quarter, and to do it, they’re offering fares that will run you about the same as a pair of movie tickets.
 Southwest Airlines, for example, last month offered one-way fares of $29 for flights early in the morning or at night, just one example of airline discounting for off-peak periods.
  “I would characterize the amount of discounting or sales that we’re doing today as a bit more than normal,” Ryan Green, Southwest’s chief commercial officer, told reporters at the Skift Aviation Forum earlier this month. He said the industry’s increased capacity in recent months means there are more seats to fill, even though the carrier’s average fare was up in the last quarter from a year ago.

 Leisure travelers, meanwhile, have largely returned to more traditional booking patterns after years of pandemic swings in demand, leaving airlines looking for ways to fill planes outside of holidays or other popular travel periods.
   “Typically, you see a step increase in price at each seven-day mark before a flight,” said Scott Keyes, founder of Scott’s Cheap Flights, a flight-deal company that recently rebranded as Going. But airlines are either dropping last-minute fares or not raising them as much as usual, he said.
  Airlines have scheduled a record 259.8 million seats for domestic flights in the fourth quarter, up nearly 8% from last year, on 1.86 million flights, up 6% from 2022, according to aviation-data firm Cirium.
  Getting the balance right in the off-season is a challenge for airlines, which make the majority of their revenue in the second and third quarters during the busy spring and summer seasons. Most major carriers reported record revenue and strong demand during those periods, with some executives reporting higher growth for international destinations over domestic ones.


Falling fares
The U.S. inflation read for September showed airfare dropped more than 13% from a year earlier, while overall consumer prices rose.
Rethinking capacity
Declining pricing power in the off-peak periods has forced carriers to rethink where they’re deploying their planes.


Holiday demand is still strong
With shifting demand comes those eye-catching, double-digit fares.
But they’re usually gone quickly and are nearly guaranteed to be unavailable for peak holiday periods, with demand expected to hit or break records.


Could it last?
Airlines are now poring over their schedules for 2024 to try to best use their aircraft while they face higher costs such as fuel and labour that have pinched margins, - Reports CNBC